Apple Intelligence in all probability isn’t going to result in a massive iPhone 16 upgrade super cycle. Nonetheless, loads of folks will need to purchase one of many 4 iPhone 16 fashions at launch. iPhone 16 preorders ought to open on Friday. Shipments and in-store gross sales will then begin per week after that.
When you’re wanting ahead to the iPhone 16 sequence, you would possibly need to resolve what mannequin to get as quickly as doable after the launch occasion wraps up. The brand new iPhone routinely sells out early throughout preorders, and that may seemingly be the case with the iPhone 16 sequence.
A report from an insider acquainted with Apple’s iPhone manufacturing plans offers us an concept of what Apple has in thoughts for the iPhone 16 launch and the remainder of the 12 months.
In line with trusted analyst Ming-Chi Kuo’s post on Medium, Apple will manufacture some 88-89 million iPhone 16 models this 12 months. That will be a slight lower from final 12 months’s 91 million iPhone 15 orders in the identical time interval. Nevertheless it’s up from a earlier estimate of 87-88 million iPhone 16 models.
Larger demand for the bottom iPhone 16 mannequin is perhaps answerable for the slight bump. Kuo additionally has data on the cut up. If his information is correct, the iPhone 16 Professional fashions nonetheless account for the majority of orders:
- iPhone 16: 26%
- iPhone 16 Plus: 6%
- iPhone 16 Professional: 30%
- iPhone 16 Professional Max: 38%
Kuo mentioned that Apple manufactured 9 million iPhone 16 models in August and plans to make 16 million in September. Of the mixed 25 million iPhone 16 models, Apple will reportedly have 15-17 million iPhone 16 models prepared for the preorder interval.
That is truly the determine that pursuits us from Kuo’s report. It is perhaps unofficial, but it surely offers us an concept of what to anticipate from the iPhone 16 preorder weekend developing this Friday. Apple would have as much as 17 mixed iPhone 16 models able to be shipped or offered worldwide on the cellphone’s launch date. That’s subsequent Friday, September twentieth.
A few of these must be accessible in Apple retail shops and provider shops since not all preliminary inventory will probably be accessible for on-line preorders.
Assuming the cut up above applies to preorders, you’ll have a better probability of scoring an iPhone 16 Professional Max than every other mannequin. Nevertheless it’s seemingly that fashionable colours and base storage choices will run out first in case you’re not quick sufficient. Additionally, the iPhone 16 Professional and 16 Professional Max would be the first to promote out, as at all times.
Years in the past, Apple stopped revealing iPhone gross sales figures for the preorder weekend. However demand has at all times been excessive, with tens of millions of patrons trying to buy the latest fashions as quick as doable.
With all that in thoughts, don’t be stunned on Friday in case your iPhone 16 transport date slips into late September or early October. However Apple will finally meet up with demand.
Kuo says iPhone 16 demand will enhance by 10% in the course of the September quarter, however solely as a result of Apple struggled to make sufficient iPhone 15 Professional Max models final 12 months. The tetraprism design was a problem for manufacturing strains on the time.
The analyst additionally mentioned that iPhone 16 gross sales are anticipated to achieve 63 million within the fourth quarter of the 12 months. That’s a 5-7% decline in comparison with the iPhone 15 final 12 months. iPhone 16 gross sales will then seemingly proceed to say no within the March 2025 quarter. Kuo sees a 53-55% drop in gross sales in comparison with the December 2024 quarter as a result of seasonality and cannibalization from the iPhone SE 4, which is due in early 2025.
The excellent news is that Apple will preserve final 12 months’s worth buildings for no less than three of the 4 iPhone 16 variations. The iPhone 16 Pro might see a price hike to $1,099, however you’d get 256GB of storage if that have been the case. Different last-minute rumors say the $999 iPhone 16 Pro price is staying in place.
